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From Ohio Duck

No. 16

6 hours ago, Steven A said:

Ok, here is how to root this weekend to improve our chances (Yes, I'm saying "you mean we have a chance")

Nebraska over Illinois since Illinois holds the tie breaker over us.

UCLA over Minnesota, we need UCLA to win out.

Rutgers over Wisconsin, as long as Wisky only has two losses we need them to have a third.

NW (we have the tie breaker) over Iowa (another two loss team)

Bonus . . . Indiana to lose two in a row . . . the bye week and then SC.

Oregon football: Four games that could impact Ducks' CFP chances

This would allow the Ducks to make the B1G championship game which and a win would be the sure way to make the playoffs.

My biggest rooting this week is for the Ducks to beat Ohio State in Columbus. That is the biggest game of all the college games left to play this year for the Duck's chances.

I'm not convinced OBD are out of the playoff picture without a B1G championship game win. Here's why.

If the team that played the final 21/2 quarters vs Northwestern is the the Ducks team going forward there is a chance of winning out.

Beat Ohio St. in Columbus (certainly a big challenge but doable, I think our back up QB is better than theirs)

Beat Michigan at home (not as big a challenge, but take nothing for granted at this point but doable)

Beat Michigan St. on the road - definitely doable

Beat Washington at home - again definitely doable

That's 9-3 with wins over Boise, USC, Nebraska, Northwestern and Ohio St. All in contention for a playoff birth though certainly not sure things.

Losses to:

Oklahoma St. who has a chance to win out themselves and be 9-3, Texas Tech will be tough, but its a home game and they have not lost at home this season (39 vs OBD is the least they have scored at home).

UCLA still undefeated at this time by 2.

and Illinois which could be the only really bad loss (looking at their remaining schedule they could end up 5-7, if they manage to go 2-2 the rest of the way they are a respectable 7-5)

Given that our worst games were following an injury to our starting QB and it took time to adjust, that we made a needed adjustment in the coaching staff (jury's still out but the first game was promising), we will have won 5 straight games...

that 9-3 record vs. one of the tougher schedules in college football and considering the circumstances, presents a good case for the Ducks to be in. I think if we win out and look pretty good doing it, we are in.

What will also be interesting is IF we win, is that we should jump Ohio St.

Both three loss teams and a recent head-to-head win. They lost to a SC team that we beat.

But would the committee? We already have 'Bama 8 spots above a Tennessee team that pretty much crushed them.

An Indiana team that lost to Ohio St. 8 spots above them.

I think the explanation was that they placed teams in pods, then compared the teams within the pod and for some reason Ohio St. was not in the same pod as Indiana and Tennessee was not in 'Bama's pod.

I've decided to listen to my 3-month-old grandchild for the explanation since his gibberish equals the committee's.

I'm happy to post this here instead of in other posts on the same topic.

Please move my last two posts from 'CFB Initial Rankings - My Thougths - Yours?' to this post. Thank you.

On3

Key takeaways from the first 2026 College Football Playof...

Only three FBS teams remain unbeaten as we head to November, and two of the three — No. 1 Miami and No. 3 Utah — were rewarded by the selection committee

No question a 9-3 Duck team would be worthy to make the CFP.

The resume would be strong.....

Question is, can they overcome the committee SEC Bias? And in the process climb over enough 9-3 SEC teams?

The deck may be stacked against any team that does not win their conference title.

Nothing matters unless OBD's handles tOSU this Saturday....

Go Ducks......

Obviously it would require winning the Big Ten title game.

If you like to play around with W-L scenarios in the B1G, you can go here and do your own prognostications and calculations.

https://bball.notnothing.net/big10.php?sport=fb