EastBayDuckDad

Great article and observations, Charles. Alioti was never given enough credit for the flex defense he managed to pair with the CK up tempo minimal TOP offense that demanded it. The college football world was amazed then transformed by Kelly's offense a decade ago. Saban initially thought it was the devil and claimed there would be more injuries, real or (in Cal's case, ironically under coach Lupoi) imagined. Eventually even Saban and Alabama adopted some of the up tempo game. Defenses learned there were ways to slow it down and even defeat it. Even so it became a situational part of most offenses if not the sole weapon. The Oregon Kelly offense was literally lightning in a bottle that revolutionized college football but ultimately became a one trick pony. It could be overcome by fast enough bigger defenders that could stuff the smaller and athletic o-line and corral the skill players (see: Nattys: tOSU and Auburn) Even Kelly has evolved away from the 24/7 go-go approach. What is so impressive is how DL has taken a fast and creative offense under Dilly, added a bend but don't break defense and combined it with tempo, snail ball, creative clock management and smart situational football. He outcoached the Yoda (put big ears on Chip and tell me he doesn't resemble him a little) Jedi Master at his first crack and even threw in a pair huevos grandes ala the Chipster with that onside kick.

“I think you guys try to affect it more than anything. We have, from day one, made it very clear what we’re here to do and what we’re here to build. Our history has shown that we don’t sell a dream, we don’t sell any false hope. We sell the reality of a track record in what we’ve done, where we’ve been, and how we’ve done it,” said Cristobal. I believe MC actually borrowed this from a statement Napoleon gave to the press right before the battle of Waterloo.

I think that if Nix continues to perform at this level he'll get drafted. 2nd, maybe 3rd round. That lands him with a team likely as a back up. I believe there is no doubt that young man wants to go to the league. He certainly has the maturity and football smarts to compete, even if the talent level is not exactly that of a franchise QB. I can't imagine he came to Oregon thinking two more years of college life. Nor did his southern born and bred spouse. I do not believe another year of college ball would make a difference in his draft stock. At this stage you are what you are and Nix, in the right system, is a damn good college quarterback. Maybe even a decent pro one. Don't get me wrong, but as much as I love what he has brought to OBD, with a Dilly offense tailored to his skill set, you stick him behind a mediocre NFL o-line and the old Bo may well re-emerge. He is simply not a Justin H. type passer, able to chuck the ball 60 yds downfield on a dime. But he might end up being a Joe Burrow style qb, and that will land him in a decent place. My prediction is that KD stays at least another year to develop Moore or maybe Thompson as the next QB for OBD. Nix gets drafted. Maybe they look for another quarterback in the portal, but I hope someone in that room come next spring will be able to take the reins. Let's enjoy and ride the Bo train for as long as we can.

A brief comparison of coaching styles: DL: Lets his asst coaches do their jobs Manages tempo, alignments and game situations taking appropriate calculated risks. Keeps the opponent guessing Throttles up to put the game away without humiliating the opponent. Plays Oregon football, not up or down based on opponent Uses stern but caring admonishing for in game faux pas (see Troy F.) Post game "We'll coach this better and fix it" Manages the clock!! MC: 'My way or highway' to asst coaches Ground and Pound x2. Throw short. Punt. The defense doesn't know what's coming. Oh, wait. I guess they do. Offensive throttle stuck in idle for extended periods Play up for tOSU, down for Stanfurd Lights up player on sideline with ugly national attention (see Kris H). Post game "We're just not physical enough" "There’s how much time left?" Does anyone doubt that if MC was still in charge this would be at best a 5-2, or even 4-3 team with losses to UGA, WSU and maybe even UCLA yesterday.

Oregon 38-34 1 2 235 yds

No doubt those ribs are a problem, but Justin was running for his life and had to force passes several times. No Keenan Allen as your go to WR. No All-Pros Rashan Slater and Corey Linsley to protect his blindside and call blocking assignments and protections really hurt that Chargers offense. The o-line is like a sieve without those two and they were already weak at RT. Thankfully Austin Ekeler was full go and dependable as always, and the kicker Hopkins nailed four FGs including the walk off OT game winner, playing on a bad hammy. But man, that was an ugly game.

Get after DTR with pressure and hold the edge on the pass rush. The UCLA o-line is good but not elite and if DJJ and Dorlus can pressure him he will not always have the time to isolate out his primary receiver. Gonzo on Bobo in man, as he is the better athlete, forcing DTR to go elsewhere. Bridges, Manning, et al need to limit the damage from the other WRs and TEs I believe the interior of the Dline can handle UCLA's inside run game and Sewell-Flowe will make tackles if they play disciplined gaps. And be ready for the inevitable Chip tempo when it comes. No mistake, UCLA is the best offense, after Georgia, that Oregon will see this year. DTR outside the pocket may be the x-factor. The odds makers have Oregon -6 with an over of 70+, so it will likely be a high scoring affair. I believe that the Duck offense will do what it does as the Bruin defense is good but won't be able to stop the run. Oregon will outscore UCLA just enough. The defense will play just well enough to get a home win. Just thankful this is in Autzen this year.

Dear Coach Riley, The rest of the sporting world feels your pain and the immense injustice that the Pac12 refs inflicted on your team. Welcome to the club. From what the rest of us could observe, your team fought hard and played a great game. But the officiating was not the deciding factor. The grit, heart and determination of your opponent, in Utah, was. You had multiple opportunities to put the Utes away. You did not. The refs simply balanced the iffy calls on both sides of the ball You lost to the gutsier team and coach. You won the early game. Utah finished better. You have talented 5☆ transfers. Utah has committed 3-4☆ players that play for each other and their coach. You whine. Coach Winningham humbly thanks his players and praises their moxie. Quite simply, you don't have a big enough suitcase to carry Coach W's brass. You can now go back to your 17 million dollar crib, lick your wounds, and revel in the reality that the promised move from the Pac12 to your coveted BIG will occur. Then you can live with that move. Perhaps humility will follow in it's wake. PS: Watching the 2012 Oregon v USC game never gets old.

Ok, so that was fun. Love that #86 kid. A little Gronk and Kelce in him. It'll be fun when they come to Autzen.

Vegas may not always get it right, but it never does anything except set odds based on the money. I think Oregon will get the usual -3 for home field advantage. So it might be Oregon -3 or perhaps if the odds makers feel UCLA has shown enough to be a 3-7 pt favorite, either a wash or UCLA by -3. It'll be the o/u that is the most interesting as both offensives would be expected to thrive. A shootout might be predicted. Say, o/u of 65. I think it'll be Oregon -3 with an o/u of 65. Then we kick their heinies. I believe Chip no longer has a house on McKenzie View Dr. I understand you can see Autzen from there. Who ever lives there now will enjoy the view next Saturday.

Utah. Redemption for Utah after a rough start (except for a subsequent beatdown by the Ducks at Autzen, which is owed to them). Even if Oregon wins out and beats an undefeated U$C in the Pac12 championship game, getting into the CFP is a long shot given the 49-3 egg laid against Georgia to start the season. I'd rather see the troy-boys lose to Utah, win out, then get spanked by the Ducks in Vegas for a trip to the Rose Bowl. U$C to the Holiday Bowl. Yeah, yeah, that's the ticket....

One can cite the RB room's success after losing the vast majority of it's 2021 production. Or the creative use of the TE room in both run and pass offense, particularly in the 14-J package (love naming it after Josh Conerly, what a way to encourage high level recruits to come to Oregon). And of course the play of Bo Nix. Above all, I feel it's the coaching. Vast improvement in game management and offensive scheme over the last several years lead the list. Identifying problem issues and correcting them in practice follow that. The defense will come as Lanning installs more of his concepts. He certainly has the talent.

Thanks to Coach Eric for diagramming and posting video of the counter and counter screen to show how the one sets up the other. Setting up a pattern only to run something else off of it once the defense thinks they know what's coming is one thing that gets everyone excited about the Dillingham offense. I particularly like the Jumbo/Big Boy package with McCormack, Herbert and Conerly that keeps going right where you expect it to go with James over tackle. Until it doesn't, and Cam M. is standing all alone in the end zone with a TD pass in his hands because the opponent sold out in the box to stop the run.

Great insight, Charles. Quite the money exchange for failure. Though it is a bit apples to oranges, here are some fun numbers: Cristobal buy out $9 mill MC 2022 salary $4.7 mill MC bonuses saved $1 mill Asst coaches saved (est) $1.8 mill DL contract $4.6 mill Additional Asst. coaches salaries 2022 v 2021 $0.7 mill Oregon comes out way ahead financially and Miami picks up our bar tab.

Tucson has been a tough place for the Ducks over the past decade, and I predict it will be no different this year. In spite of the talent imbalance the 'Cats always seem to play up when they face Oregon and 135 yds of dirty laundry might be a game decider. The upside is that each game exposes a weakness that needs to be addressed and the following week Lanning gets after it in practice. Each subsequent game has shown significant improvement that seems to stick. We've seen passing defense, edge containment and tackling all improve after a bad outing. Penalties and attitude will be on the agenda for sure, and we can bet DL will hammer it home on the field and in the film room.

I don't bet on sports, but for once I wish I had taken the Ducks on points and the over. Had the score pretty close but way off on TOs and passing yards, though I like the idea of maybe trading the latter out for total Nix yards. A lot closer to my prediction, then. Rules for a tie breaker maybe not such a bad idea..

Yikes, Nolan's second interception of the day a pick 6. Utah 14-7 over the Beavs

Oregon 48-27 3 TO 4 Sacks 325 passing yds

Great analysis on this. I'm in league with Charles on not loving the BDB defense, but understanding why Lanning may be running it now with the Cover 2 approach. It is impressive that run defense is as good as it has been. The outside DL and LBs have been setting the edge well, so plays are getting turned inside to the strength of the D. Not as much so far with the pass game, compounded by inconsistent tackling in space. But with a few exceptions, Cover 2 has kept the deep ball controlled. If setting the edge continues to get better keeping mobile opposing QBs in the pocket and limiting the read down dump off pass to the flat, things will improve. Add consistent tackling and the BDB will do less bending and more stopping. The Stanford game will be a good barometer on the progress made. McKee isn't as elusive as the QBs faced from BYU and Wazzu thus far, but he will test the D at all three levels: deep, intermediate and in the short sideline game.

Let's hope this is not entirely accurate when it comes to OBD. Georgia v Oregon: Georgia 439 yds passing 132 yds rushing 571 yds total offense

Pac-12 in danger of eventual collapse as Big Ten considers further expansion, Big 12 interest looms - CBSSports.com WWW.CBSSPORTS.COM If the Big Ten can get one more significant payday, it may be curtains for the Pac-12 Pac-12 reportedly in danger of collapse WWW.SATURDAYDOWNSOUTH.COM Conference realignment continues to have significant impact on where college football is headed.

Very good article, Joshua, and an accurate read on Nix. My observation is that the Oregon offense under Dillingham has him playing to his skill set, which is accurate reads, short to medium range passes and controlled runs, planned off the RPO or scrambles when he needs to get out of the pocket. Nix's long ball is not his strength. In reviewing passing attempts over 30 yds, he more often than not will slightly over or under throw the ball. Luckily most of them are catchable. The long completions to Franklin and Hutson at WSU required each to break stride just a bit. One of the long passes in the BYU game led the receiver just a bit too much and he wasn't able to reach the endzone and the great catch by Franklin was a bit behind him. This tendency to underthrow was the reason the first pick in the Georgia game occurred, albeit to a very talented DB that played it perfectly. I'll bet Smart coached his secondary to that tendency given his familiarity with Nix. On the flip side, Bo's TD pass to Franklin late in the WSU game was on a dime, and the 4th and 2 completion to Irving was perfect. It was a do or die play and the reason Oregon came back to win. Both of those passes were in the 25-30yd range where Nix is most effective. With the O-line giving him a relatively clean pocket, Nix has the time to launch down the field, but his real strength is that medium pass. He is really accurate on those and can pick apart a defense. Oregon has the speedy receivers to get significant YAC, so that medium game is money.

Thanks for posting that, PDuck! Heard it on Steve Tannen's show yesterday and smiled for half an hour afterwards. Spanish play by play is rapid fire by nature of calling futbol matches (That's 'soccer' to you Norte Americanos). Prehm needs to polish up his high school Spanish though. It's 'Hasta la vista' baby! Goooooaaaaaaaalllllll !

Personally I would rather see Bo have a great season, then move on. Don't think he is a high end NFL talent, but he could carve out a decent pro career. He's married and will want to provide for his new family. Something tells me Dante Moore will find his place in the new system at Oregon. Maybe he waits a year or more behind TT, but I think it may be sooner rather than later that he takes the reins.