• UCLA won last night

• Northwestern lost to Ohio State

• Wisconsin is losing to Maryland with 19 seconds remaining

Edited 14 hours ago14 hr by OregonDucks

Now official. Both Northwestern and Wisconsin lost.

USC is not doing its part.

Two missed FGs, can't finish in the Red Zone. Knew it was going to be tough, but they haven't stepped up.

The only thing USC did for us is give us a path to the CFP. They blew every chance to take our Indiana. No playoffs for them though.

I don't know what ever happened to that evil twin Dylan guy who played for us against UCLA, but I definitely don't want to ever see him again.

Dylan's had a pretty stellar day and his numbers are exceptional.

Work to do on the rushing game.

Defense rocked it again.

The way Oregon has played the past 3 games, if it continues to finish out season, they will get an at large bid.

Just now, Desert Duck said:

I don't know what ever happened to that evil twin Dylan guy who played for us against UCLA, but I definitely don't want to ever see him again.

Dylan's had a pretty stellar day and his numbers are exceptional.

Work to do on the rushing game.

Defense rocked it again.

I am not sure. This is one of the best run Ds in the country and Oregon is sitting at 130. Not bad

Just now, Log Haulin said:

I am not sure. This is one of the best run Ds in the country and Oregon is sitting at 130. Not bad

Very true. Excellent reminder and point.

USC sucks.

No B1G Champ path now.

We need to jump 5 teams, and some of them will be 9-3 SEC teams like Texas or LSU.

We need to dominate MSU and Washington in a good old fashioned beauty contest one last time, then never hopefully never again.

24 minutes ago, Log Haulin said:

I am not sure. This is one of the best run Ds in the country and Oregon is sitting at 130. Not bad

30 yards above what Michigan gives up a game, 1/2 yard per carry better. And it looks like that phase is improving.

Lincoln Riley called a great game. He never gave up on the run game. His FG kicker let him down, and Maiva, under pressure, completes fewer than 40% of his throws. And Indiana has a nasty D-line.

Super win by OBD. Michigan has quit on Whittingham. Absent a new AD and president, Whit is good to season's end, but I don't see how he returns.

Nice loss by Houston last night. But make no mistake: Wake blowing out SMU and Miami beating Duke probably makes the ACC a 2-team PO conference.

The Houston loss makes TX Tech's best win not so good. Hopefully OK State will defeat TT tonight. The PO Committee has way overrated the B12.

OBD needs Utah to take down Arizona and extinguish AZ's PO hopes. A BYU loss to Baylor would be sweet.

Notwithstanding the SC loss, I'm keeping the PO faith.

4 minutes ago, Mike West said:

30 yards above what Michigan gives up a game, 1/2 yard per carry better. And it looks like that phase is improving.

Mich also ranked 5th in pass D. Giving up 154.8 per game. Ducks blew that number up. Teams can't keep loading the box or DR is going to take them apart.

Committee tends to lean Hard to the "eyeball test". So, Yes? Dominate Michigan St. AND Washington and we Will get in over any other three loss team.

Fact is our odds are better to 'showout" the last two games and avoid a potential 4th loss in the B1G championship game, in order to receive an invite to the playoffs.

But, still two weeks to go and especially This year, apparently, Anything can and will happen.

But, I really like our chances.

GO DUCKS!

13 minutes ago, Mike West said:

30 yards above what Michigan gives up a game, 1/2 yard per carry better. And it looks like that phase is improving.

Smith and Hill were both over 4 yard per carry. What drew the average down was Dylan 6 carries form -6 yds

I’ll say again and again, it’s a bunch of guys in a room at the end of the day. If the Oregon brand goes 9-3 (with how this particular season unfolded) we’re probably in. I have a very hard time believing a brand name 3rd place team from the B1G doesn’t get the nod if they let even one 9-3 team from the SEC in.

Edited 10 hours ago10 hr by JabbaNoBargain

40 minutes ago, MicroBurst61 said:

Committee tends to lean Hard to the "eyeball test". So, Yes? Dominate Michigan St. AND Washington and we Will get in over any other three loss team.

Fact is our odds are better to 'showout" the last two games and avoid a potential 4th loss in the B1G championship game, in order to receive an invite to the playoffs.

But, still two weeks to go and especially This year, apparently, Anything can and will happen.

But, I really like our chances.

GO DUCKS!

Anything had better happen, because nearly everyone ahead of us on the schedule is playing nobodies from here on out, just like us.

I honestly think we are out of the playoffs at this point, without anything short of miracles happening.

We'll probably finish number 12-13 if we win out.

1 hour ago, Solar said:

No B1G Champ path now.

We need to jump 5 teams, and some of them will be 9-3 SEC teams like Texas or LSU.

We need to dominate MSU and Washington in a good old fashioned beauty contest one last time, then never hopefully never again.

I fear you're right about this Solar. I think we're very unlikely to make the playoff even if we win the next two big. There are just too many SEC teams stacked into the upper level of the rankings (that feedback loop was baked in from the start this year and is drawing a lot of attention, as it should). The SEC teams in front of us we would hope to lose will be beaten by 3-loss SEC teams nipping at our heels right now in the CFP ranking, and they'd get a huge boost for that win and jump us.

At least things are being kept interesting by the slim theoretical chance, but we needed more chaos today than we got I think. Door feels pretty much closed to me unfortunately.

2 hours ago, OregonDucks said:

USC is not doing its part.

Typical Lincoln Riley game. They should have never fired Lane Kiffen.

1 hour ago, JabbaNoBargain said:

I have a very hard time believing a brand name 3rd place team from the B1G doesn’t get the nod if they let even one 9-3 team from the SEC in.

This. The 3rd place team in the B1G has gotten into the CFP the last 2 years.

Imo. If Lsu beats tex and Tennessee and we win out convincingly.... we are in.

There are not 12 teams playing better than Oregon right now.

That Michigan win was substantial. Michigan still has some very good players.

If LSU wins out, they are in and they would be a 3 loss team.

And they are saying if Texas loses to LSU but then wins out, they are in as a 3 loss team.

Maybe the Huskies will pull one out next week and beat Indiana.

Does that mean I have to be a Husky fan?

Edited 6 hours ago6 hr by Ktmguy2018

(USA Today CFP standings prediction)

B1G standings

7-0, 10-0 – UCLA (4)

9-1, 6-1 – Indiana (8)

8-2, 5-2 – Iowa (13) - @Illinois, Nebraska

7-3, 5-2 – Oregon (14)

ACC standings

9-1, 7-0 – Miami (7)

9-1, 6-1 – Wake Forest (11)

7-3, 6-2 – Louisville (24)

SEC standings

9-1, 7-1 – Georgia (1)- @S. Carolina, Ga Tech

8-2, 6-2 – Alabama (3) – Chattanooga, Auburn

8-2, 5-2 – Tennessee (9) – LSU, @Vandy

7-3, 5-3 – Kentucky (15) - @ Mizzou, Louisville

7-3, 4-3 – LSU (19) - @Tennessee, @Arkansas

7-3,  4-3 (6) – Texas – Arkansas, @A&M

Big12

9-0, 6-0 – Utah (2) – trailing Arizona in 2nd Q

8-1, 5-1 – Tex Tech (12) – leading Okie State

8-2, 5-2 – BYU (10)

7-2, 4-2 – Arizona (20) – leading Utah

Independent

9-1 – Notre Dame (5)

Group of Six

Whomever (12)

Potential 2 loss teams: Iowa, BYU

5 hours ago, Desert Duck said:

USC sucks.

They need to step up, or we won't have Riley to kick around anymore!

3 hours ago, MikeJ said:

I fear you're right about this Solar. I think we're very unlikely to make the playoff even if we win the next two big. There are just too many SEC teams stacked into the upper level of the rankings (that feedback loop was baked in from the start this year and is drawing a lot of attention, as it should). The SEC teams in front of us we would hope to lose will be beaten by 3-loss SEC teams nipping at our heels right now in the CFP ranking, and they'd get a huge boost for that win and jump us.

At least things are being kept interesting by the slim theoretical chance, but we needed more chaos today than we got I think. Door feels pretty much closed to me unfortunately.

LSU is 9-4, next case. Kentucky lost today. Texas at A$M? Arkansas blew out now 4-loss South Carolina.

Houston lost, and OK State is still in the game vs. TX Tech. BYU defeated Baylor, and Arizona leads Utah in Tucson. Fortunately, Boise won a shootout against the Beavers.

Washington won at Michigan State and Indiana, coming off a tough game against SC, could be pressed in Seattle.

Oregon was the highest-ranked 3-loss team last week and will move up in the PO committee rankings. Rivalry games remain to be played; you never know.

Spank Sparty!

Oregon needs to score over 50 the last two games to be relevant. I think they can do it.

We’ve created a lot more distance between us and all the teams behind us in the CFP 25 and we’ll likely jump Kentucky and Houston, but we still need help.

The Top 4 SEC teams have no games left against each other. Wake Forest and Miami are likely in if they win out. Utah, BYU, TT are all in if they win out (really unfortunate that TT misses both Utah and BYU). Then there is ND and Boise St if they win out. That’s 11 teams before we get to the B1G.

If the selection committee stays with precedent that teams aren’t punished for conference title game losses, none of the above teams play each other in the regular season. We need massive upsets. And for OBD to have any chance, Iowa must lose. We can’t be the fourth B1G team, we have to be at least third. If more upsets don’t come, even two loss Iowa won’t make it.