JabbaNoBargain

It’s August which means I’m allowed to get excited about the roster. Pretty sure he’s going to blow up!

There are a lot of crap shoots in the first half of their schedule. Fresno is in a reset, Cal seems to have lost their good players, but they drubbed Beavis last year. Trip to Boone won’t be a sure win by any stretch. 0-6 is certainly not impossible, but I’m guessing a couple of their first 6 opponents will end up being terrible teams and Beavis will end up starting 2-4, then hope to stay healthy enough to finish up 4-2 down the stretch. All very difficult to forecast given the portal world, but one would think any P4 team should be bringing in better new players than Beavis.

tOSU Michigan PSU Wisconsin/Iowa to a degree unless they’re about to stay mediocre. That’s it from my view, and it’s plenty given we have 3 rivals from the real PAC. We’ve beat Michigan 3 straight including twice on the road, I would hope that might fire them up a little. The rest of the conference is wildly inconsistent and with schedule rotation we won’t play any of them enough (prior to the new “super conference” starting within a few years) to develop anything imo.

I’d put them both at 6 wins. The Sewer Rats have a much worse floor though IMO. Their front loaded schedule makes losses more likely even at full strength. Thin depth could make the second half of their soft soft schedule worse than anticipated with a few key injuries and some wear & tear. They also play 5 P4 teams, with 3 of these being perceived as teams in transition that they play at home and they seem to be penciling in as wins. I’d say in the age of NIL there’s a reasonable chance those squads (Cal, Wake, Houston) will have better rosters than the rats.

$40 Billion endowment, these are all choices being made.

If Clownzano thought he was asking me a “hardball” question I’d just start laughing and close Zoom.

They should just be for fun to start dialog. They shouldn’t serve any purpose if SOS is ever actually implemented for assessing a playoff ranking halfway into the season. Alas…

We’re getting a home/home no matter how much most fans (imo)on both sides don’t want it. Clownzano

Agree we should never play a G6 on the road, but apparently Beavis is a special exception to this.

Well my smart-aleck answer is not at all. As mentioned above, he did serve as the catalyst for better recruiting, but there’s a lot of possible cart before horse even with that. He was the first “outsider” coach in decades, it’s possible that any decent recruiting “outsider” could have elevated recruiting, we’ll never know.

Did we have NIL starting in 1994? Interesting logic.

Alabama just can’t get a break

The general strategy seems to be to simply spend the bigger $$ on players who will play right away, regardless of how old they are, but there are no absolutes or simple formulas. USC has an incredible HS class. We’ll see if spending a ton on HS talent upfront is a whiff in short order. Although at a different scale and out of necessity, I think our buddy at CU was ahead of the curve on this front.

With this schedule, 9-3 feels like a worst case to me. As in, we have a negative QB situation we will still go 9-3 with that schedule.

Awesome, bring it on! This is hardly the time to take it down a notch.

Pretty sure the punter we stole from Boise is Australian

This. IMO, we should be talented enough that given the schedule , “solid” QB play will get us to 10-2 and a playoff appearance. Anything “Moore” will probably require great play from two guys named Moore. We need Moore(s)

I like throwing darts too! But in fairness, where should he be? Sayin and Underwood are arbitrary, but I’m not sure I could rate Moore higher than any of the others until he proves otherwise. IMO of course 😉

Not untrue, there really aren’t a lot of college powers in large metros in any sport, but USC has overcome this quite a few times. The right coach and administration could still kill it there. Very different than trying to bring someplace like Nebraska or Oklahoma back. Not going to lie, if I could be 20 with no expenses and making $500k+ a year, LA would be pretty appealing. I’d take that deal right now at 55 😂

Vegas has their over/under at 7.5, believe it.

Pretty spot on. IMO - No matter what regulations old people start tossing around to feel better about themselves, the end result will be the same. The top-20 from 10 years ago will pretty much look the same 10 years from now.

I think the SEC gets into lala land because the rest of the league see themselves as being Alabama’s equal the last 10 years. They aren’t. Alabama was an absolute freak show. If Alabama and USC (west coast USC) swapped their history over the last decade, how different would the narrative be?

Big NO IMO. Until LR AND USC demonstrate they can compete in the modern plug and play world against the rough and tumble B1G, they should get zero benefit of the doubt. One of the biggest differences between OBD and USC is we have an actual body of work (12-0 regular season in B1G, plug and play environment) with a coach that has averaged almost 12 wins a season. I think their loss range could be from 2 to 8, splitting that down the middle, I have them going 7-5. I think their odds of going 10-2 are better than them going 4-8, but not by much.

Still blows my mind how BSU & SDSU came racing in like a couple of rabid dogs. This league clearly has no strategy. They will talk about geography ultimately whining while actively trying to add Memphis to the conference.

You bet, coming back to play Texas State instead of Duke.